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    Millions of prospective holidaymakers are waiting to hear what the government has in mind for their trips this summer. The “green list” countries will not require quarantine after returning to the UK.

    More importantly, many people with love ones abroad, who they have not seen for many months or even a year or more, are desperate for confirmation that the current ban on travel will be lifted on 17 May as expected – and for the hurdles they will need to cross.

    Amber list countries will require self-isolation at home on return, while red list locations trigger hotel quarantine.

    While the transport secretary, Grant Shapps, prepares the green list, The Independent’s travel correspondent has come up with his own prediction – as has Paul Charles, campaigner against travel quarantine and chief executive of travel consultancy The PC Agency.

    These are the predictions from each (PC = Paul Charles, SC = Simon Calder).

    The competition is this: for each country/territory they get right, they get a point. If they nominate a location that doesn’t make the green list grade, they lose a point.

    Europe and Mediterranean

    Albania SC

    Finland PC SC

    Gibraltar PC SC

    Norway SC

    Iceland PC SC

    Ireland PC SC

    Israel PC SC

    Malta PC SC

    Morocco PC

    Portugal PC SC

    San Marino SC

    Asia and Middle East

    Bhutan SC

    Saudi Arabia SC

    Singapore SC

    South Korea SC

    Taiwan SC

    Caribbean

    Anguilla PC

    Antigua & Barbuda PC SC

    Barbados PC SC

    British Virgin Islands PC

    Cayman Islands PC

    Grenada PC

    Jamaica PC

    Montserrat PC

    St Lucia PC SC

    Turks & Caicos PC

    US Virgin Islands SC

    Oceania

    Australia SC

    New Zealand SC

    Cook Islands SC

    Kiribati SC

    Northern Mariana Islands SC

    Samoa SC

    Solomon Islands SC

    Tonga SC

    Vanuatu SC

    Wallis & Futuna SC

    British overseas territories

    Ascension Island PC SC

    Bermuda PC

    British Antarctic Territory PC SC

    British Indian Ocean Territory PC SC

    Falkland Islands PC SC

    Pitcairn PC SC

    St Helena PC SC

    South Georgia & the South Sandwich Islands PC SC

    Tristan da Cunha PC SC

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