South Africa has also sought to put the potential impact of losing Agoa benefits into perspective, arguing that the country's broader trade relationship with the US extends well beyond the programme.

Government figures show that about 89% of South African exports to the US entered under ordinary World Trade Organization most-favoured-nation terms in 2025, while around 10% benefited from Agoa, down from 28% in 2024.

"The value of South African exports under the programme fell to about $1.7bn (£1.3bn) in 2025, from $4bn the previous year," Tau said.

Bilateral trade between the two countries reached $28.8bn in 2025, while more than 600 American companies operate in South Africa, supporting about 134,600 jobs.

Pretoria says the two economies have complementary trade interests. South Africa supplies 12 of the 50 minerals considered critical by the US, as well as 70% of American isotopes used, among other things, in cancer treatment.

South African manufacturers also use American inputs in products exported to the US under Agoa, including vehicles and boats.

Oxford Economics senior economist Jee-A van der Linde said Washington's move will put further pressure on South Africa's manufacturing sector, warning that affected exports may be difficult to redirect to other markets.

"This decision comes as global trade flows remained disrupted and South Africa faces growing competition from cheap Chinese imports, particularly in the automotive industry," he said.

However, he noted that South Africa had previously managed to redirect some tariff-affected exports to markets including Europe and China.

US Ambassador to South Africa Leo Brent Bozell III said it was regrettable that South African policies led to its termination from Agoa.

"This was a predictable and preventable outcome resulting from the rejection by South Africa's government of real concerns raised by the US," he wrote on X.

The announcement comes amid strained relations between Washington and both countries, with the proposed termination threatening their access to preferential trade arrangements with the US.

Last year, Trump accused South Africa of persecuting its white minority and launched a programme for white Afrikaners to get asylum in the US.

Trump also repeated widely discredited claims of a genocide of South Africa's white population.

In Rwanda's case, Washington also raised concerns about human rights, political pluralism, the rule of law and workers' rights.

The move comes barely a week after Rwanda's defence ministry was hit with sanctions by US Treasury for its alleged role in the armed rebellion in eastern DR Congo.

The US Treasury said Rwanda's defence ministry directed thousands of troops to fight alongside M23 rebels in eastern DR Congo, providing weapons, equipment, logistics and training.

Rwanda has denied backing the M23 despite overwhelming evidence.

Rwanda saw its exports to the US rise to $43.3 million in 2025, up from $13.1 million in 2024, according to US import data.

Alexander Venter, an Oxford Economics economist, said Washington accounted for about 2% of Rwanda's merchandise exports in 2025, with only around 4% of its exports to the US benefiting from Agoa preferences.

Neighbouring African countries and Asian markets continued to dominate Rwanda's trade, Venter added.

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